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Sports Investment vs Gambling Sports Investment - Pick 5/7 games on Saturday and 3/5 on Sunday. Play these early in the week if you think the line will move against you, bet late if line moving in your favor. Gambling - Play every game on the board Sports Investing - Never ever make any more bets other than the 5/7 you had already marked to play. Whether you are winning, losing or breaking even, you except it and realize that next week will be here soon enough. Gambling - If you are winning you play more on the late games trying to "crush the book". If you are losing you play more on the late games trying to "recoup your losses". Sports Investing - Might play a Thursday/Monday night game if it fits into your same criteria you use for the weekend games. Gambler - Have to make a play on Thursday/Monday games. Shoot "I love the action". Sports Investing - Start the season with $$$ in the bank. Lets say $10,000. Play a small % on each pick around 5% ($500 per game). That way you never have to worry about paying rent or explaining where the $$$ went to your family. Gambling - Play with $$$ you don't have. If you loss worry about where the rent $$$ will come from and explain to your family how come you never have any money. Sports Investing - Always play the same amount on each game since you understand that going 4-3 on Saturday gives you winning % of 57% and a profit of $350 for Saturday. And 3-2 on Sunday is 60% for the season and a profit of $400 for Sunday. That’s right guys... a total of $750 per weekend just hitting 57-60% Gambling - Play each game for a different amount hoping that your "best play" hits because you have 3 times more $$$ on it. End the weekend going 20-15 (57%) and still losing money because of the juice and your "Top Play" not hitting. Sports Investing - Never play a game that you don't think will win. This goes back to the limited # of picks each week. You never force a play remembering that you might only have 3 plays on Saturday, but that is ok because 2-1 is still $450 in your pocket. Gambling - Play every game on the board because "it should win". Sports Investing - If you have a losing streak you stick with the plan of only playing 5% of your bank roll and sticking to a limited # of plays because you know that you can not win every weekend and that it is a long season. Gambling - After a losing weekend you try and make all your $$$ back on one or two games risking way more on a game you don't really like than you did on the games you "loved" hoping to dig yourself out of the hole. Sports Investing - Take your job (handicapping) very seriously. You understand that it is a job and treat it like one. Spending 40+ hours a week going over everything and still only playing 5-7 games Saturday and 3-5 Sunday. Gambling - Go down the line sheet and mark the games that "can't lose" and call the local book and place your bet. Sports Investing - You understand that losing is part of the process but the season is long and you expect to be ahead at the end of the season. Only then do you go out and celebrate with your winnings, holding your initial bank roll out so you can do it again next year. Gambling - You expect to lose your ass some weeks and kick ass on others. You spend every dime you won the weekend before celebrating and patting yourself on the back. And then when you lose have absolutely nothing left to pay the book. Sports Investing - You don't get too high or too low emotionally because of the games. The $$$ you won or lost is part of your "bank roll" and you can't do anything with it until the season is over anyway. Besides, you can still pay your bills and you know you wont have to deal with anyone nagging at you because your losses in no way effect your quality of living (WINNING DOES!). Gambler - Kick the cat, yell at the wife and tell everyone to F-off when you lose since you feel like crap for blowing all that $$$. When you win you dance around the house, take your lady out to a fancy dinner and buy the cat a toy.. you are right F*** the cat! Hitman |
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more people should pay attention to this |
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Great ARticle every time I read it. Just going to Highlight it for people who may have missed it |
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Def a great article....Put me in on the gambling side for the first 5 years of doing this for sure....After you go broke about 50 times and get a little older you either go over to the investing side or you might as well hang it up... DMH |
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i think i need to read this every friday...... |
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haha... ya it should be a pop up on my computer saturday morning |
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Great Stuff Hitman. You hit the nail right on the head. If your going to take this seriously, you must limit your choices and stay away from making a ton of picks just for the action or because its on tv. I agree with the 5-7 games for a Saturday although once the season does get started, You may find 7-10 or so. The one thing I might add for Saturday are two things that some may disagree with me! 1) Half time wagers on college football can be very profitable in certain situations....example.....2 teams going up and down the field and fumble the ball away or do something dumb (holding penality or interception) and they don't score....so at half-time its 10-7..........so the second half total comes out at 23-24 and guess what.............all those miscues can and generally are turned into points. There are a ton of opportunities and other examples that I can give with different situations. 2) Prop wagers........ok so you disagree already but hear me out! In college football I have seen that prop that states "Longest TD in the game Over/Under 48/49/50/51/etc" ......can be a very profitable wager even at a steep -120 vig......... Certain conferences are always high scoring and throw in a capable QB or two and the probability of "one" just "one" long TD is certainly attainable. Now I'm not saying the SEC is one of them because god only knows they have some low scoring ...great Defensive type game! Ha! The Mountain West, WAC, Pac 10 are just a few that quite often that "one" long play figures into the scoring. The tip off is that game where you find that total at 55-+++ total points will get you headed in the right direction. I look forward to contributing to this forum. Invest2Win Quote: |
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I'm definitely a gambler!!!
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great article,I'm definitely a gambler. great article,I'm definitely a gambler. the past 2 years i slow down on betting. this article is a great tool to go bye. Thanks for the great info. I have never read something like this in my life. wish i had it 10 years ago when i lost big time. every day I try to get my money back just got deeper in the hole. this I will keep for my self. Thanks |
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Hitman you hit every note on this one .....well done |
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Investing is key. RSI! |