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Nick Parsons Total and Props

Good Luck Guys

Guaranteed Pick: Nick Parsons

Game: New York Giants at New England Patriots Feb 3 2008 6:20PM
Prediction: over
Reason: Having scored 35 points in their season-finale loss to New England, the Giants know they can move the ball on the Patriots. Moving the ball is not enough, though. Nor is kicking field goals. New York must reach the end zone several times. But, that should be a much easier task to accomplish right now as Eli Manning has been at his most accurate, playing the best football of his four-year career. His playoff numbers, particularly four touchdowns to no interceptions and a 99.2 rating, are worthy of brother Peyton, last year's Super Bowl MVP. RB’s Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw are an almost impossible to stop 1, 2 punch and I expect more of the same on Super Sunday. Although they only scored 21 points in the AFC Championship game, obviously the Patriots are one of the best offensive teams in the history of the game. Relatively quiet in his first two-playoff games with New England, Randy Moss overwhelmed Giants cornerbacks and safeties in the last meeting. Moss had six receptions for 100 yards and two TDs as he broke Jerry Rice’s NFL mark with 23 touchdown catches. New England has had the total go ‘over’ the number in all four of their games vs. NFC East division opponents this season and the Giants have seen the total go above the number in three of four games they’ve played against AFC East Division opponents. With the added week of rest, I look for both teams to be firing on all cylinders as the defenses take the back seat to the offenses in this one; play on the OVER!

*******Bonus Side Play********************

New York simply doesn't lose on the road, and the Giants are the designated away team at University of Phoenix Stadium. They've won 10 straight away games, and they have outplayed all three opponents in the playoffs on both sides of the ball. Don't forget that they tested the Patriots on Dec. 29, even led by 12 points in the third quarter, and I believe all the pressure is on New England. It may come as a surprise to some when looking at these teams ATS trends over the last few weeks; New York is a perfect 5-0 ATS their last five games, while New England is 0-5 ATS their last five coming into Super Sunday. The Patriots are also just 2-4 ATS their last six vs. the Giants and I look for NEW YORK to apply just enough pressure on both sides of the ball to escape with another ATS victory!

*******Bonus Prop Plays********************

Manning vs. Brady-1st Half most passing: Eli Manning +30.5 passing yards –116
In my first proposition I am suggesting a play on Eli Manning, (getting +30.5 passing yards, -116) to throw more passing yards than Tom Brady in the 1st Half. Brady has said he’s set and ready to go, however his high ankle sprain can’t simply be overlooked. I expect the Giants awesome defensive play to continue, and look for Michael Strahan, Osi Umenyiora, Justin Tuck, Fred Robbins and Antonio Pierce to have massive games and put pressure on New England’s pivot all day. Eli Manning has been at his most accurate, playing the best football of his four-year career. His playoff numbers -- particularly four touchdowns to no interceptions and a 99.2 rating -- are worthy of brother Peyton, last year's Super Bowl MVP. The combination of Manning’s near perfect play, coupled with the Giants awesome defensive line makes me recommend a play on: ELI MANNING +30.5 PASSING YARDS –116, to out duel Brady in the 1st Half!

Total rushing yards made by Laurence Maroney: UNDER 81.5 rushing yards -121
In my second proposition wager I’m suggesting a play on Laurence Maroney to get: UNDER 81.5 total rushing yards –121 for the game. Maroney has gotten a lot of attention over the last few weeks, but I’m expecting Bellichick to use a more balanced attack between the two backs in this game. I also expect the Patriots to throw the ball a lot in this game as well, as the speedy defensive line for the Giants should be able to effectively stop New England’s running game; play on MARONEY TO GET UNDER 81.5 TOTAL RUSHING YARDS!

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2008 College: 50-40-1
2008 NFL: 20-13
2008-2009 Season: 71-52
2007-2008 Season: 186-133-9

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